Complex industrial systems

The Four-Domain Reality Framework

Traditional strategy treats energy, geopolitics, technology, and supply chains as independent risks. We model how they cascade and compound—because that's how they actually behave in the real world.

Why Traditional Strategy Fails

Most strategic plans fail not because the analysis was wrong, but because the assumptions were unrealistic.

They assume:

  • Energy and materials will always be available at reasonable cost
  • Geopolitical conditions will remain stable or predictable
  • Technology will be freely accessible across borders
  • Supply chains will operate with historical reliability

When any of these assumptions breaks—and they're breaking with increasing frequency—strategies built on them collapse.

PRISM's Four-Domain Reality Framework stress-tests your strategy against the physical, structural, technological, and operational constraints that actually determine whether your business model survives.

PHYSICAL DOMAIN

Energy, Materials & Climate

Key Question

"If critical inputs became 10x more expensive tomorrow, does your business model survive?"

What We Examine

  • Energy sovereignty and availability constraints
  • Critical mineral dependencies and substitution possibilities
  • Climate physical risks to assets and operations
  • Water scarcity and agricultural system vulnerabilities

Why It Matters

Physical constraints are non-negotiable. When energy or materials become unavailable at any price, financial optimization becomes irrelevant.

We help you identify and mitigate these single-point-of-failure dependencies before they destroy shareholder value.

Example Diagnostic Questions

What happens to your margin if natural gas prices triple permanently?

Which critical materials have no viable substitutes in your process?

How many of your facilities face severe water stress by 2030?

What is your exposure to climate-related physical risks?

STRUCTURAL DOMAIN

Geopolitics & Regulation

Key Question

"If the world splits into competing trading blocs, can your regional operations stand alone?"

What We Examine

  • Geopolitical fragmentation risks and trade bloc dependencies
  • Regulatory sovereignty and compliance complexity
  • Currency and financial system exposure
  • Critical infrastructure dependencies across borders

Why It Matters

Globalization is fragmenting. Strategies assuming open borders and free technology flow are increasingly vulnerable.

Your strategy must work within each bloc independently—we help you understand which operations can become self-sufficient and which require fundamental restructuring.

Example Diagnostic Questions

Can your regional operations survive if cross-border trade stops?

How exposed are you to regulatory divergence between economic blocs?

What happens to your margins if currency volatility doubles?

Which critical inputs depend on potentially hostile jurisdictions?

DIGITAL DOMAIN

Cyber & Technology Sovereignty

Key Question

"If your tech systems go dark for 30 days, do you have manual overrides to keep operating?"

What We Examine

  • Cyber resilience and attack surface analysis
  • Technology sovereignty and vendor dependency risks
  • Tech infrastructure single points of failure
  • Manual override capabilities for critical operations

Why It Matters

Tech infrastructure is the nervous system of modern business. When it fails, everything stops.

We identify which tech dependencies are existential risks and help you build resilient alternatives.

Example Diagnostic Questions

Can you maintain operations during a 30-day cyber incident?

Which vendors could cut off your technology access due to geopolitics?

Do critical processes have manual backup procedures?

How quickly can you restore operations from offline backups?

OPERATIONAL DOMAIN

Supply Chains & Logistics

Key Question

"If global logistics stop for 90 days, how quickly does your cash flow dry up?"

What We Examine

  • Supply chain break-point analysis and buffer optimization
  • Logistics physics and transportation constraints
  • Inventory strategy vs. cash flow trade-offs
  • Alternative sourcing and supplier diversification

Why It Matters

Global supply chains optimized for efficiency become fragile under stress.

We help you balance efficiency with resilience—identifying which inventory buffers buy you operational continuity and which are wasted capital.

Example Diagnostic Questions

How long can you operate without external logistics?

What inventory levels actually buy you meaningful resilience?

Can you source critical inputs from alternative suppliers?

How quickly does cash flow become critical without shipments?

Why Integration Matters:
Cascade Effects Are the Real Killer

The four domains don't operate independently,
they cascade and compound.

A geopolitical shock (Structural) triggers energy disruptions (Physical), which expose tech vulnerabilities (Digital), which break supply chains (Operational).

Geopolitical Shock

Trade restrictions imposed

Energy Disruption

Critical inputs unavailable

Technology Access Cut

Systems fail

Supply Chain Collapse

Operations cease

Traditional risk models analyze these domains in isolation, missing the critical insight: your strategy doesn't fail from one shock; it fails from the cascade.

PRISM models these interactions. We show you not just where individual vulnerabilities exist, but how disruptions propagate through your entire business system.

Ready to Stress-Test Your Strategy?

Discover where your strategy is vulnerable to cascade effects across all four realms.

Request Strategic Briefing